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How it works
The Parimutuel Market Maker

A new engine for permissionless prediction markets

The PMM allows anyone to make a market on anything without gatekeepers or middlemen.

The problem

Existing engines weren’t built for predictions

Permissionless markets need liquidity that doesn’t depend on 3rd party market makers or subsidies.

Parimutuel
Late money dilutes the people who were right early
Order book
Dead on arrival without a market maker
AMM
Liquidity providers bleed out

A groundbreaking new mechanism.

Parimutuel base

The pool prices itself

Every market is a parimutuel pool, where players back outcomes and the pool itself sets the odds and pays out.

Liquid from the first dollar
Live pool$48,230
Yes53%
No47%
Dynamic curves

Each trade reprices the whole board

Outcomes are priced via dynamic curves, with each trade repricing the whole market so that odds never go stale.

Always sharp, always fair
Live market
Yes34%
Maybe33%
No33%
Buy one outcome. The whole board reprices.

The PMM goes to work for you.

Minimum-return floor

The floor only goes up

Your minimum payout locks in when you enter and can only climb from there, so your downside is fixed while your upside stays open.

Downside floored, upside uncapped
Position valueYour floor, only goes up
Counterparty-liquidity rewards

Your position earns while you hold

Every position doubles as a yield-bearing stake, earning rewards that boost your payout the longer you hold.

Volatility pays you
Position value$0
Pays more as the market moves.

Unlocking a new era of prediction markets.

Creator markets

A market for every niche

Anyone can launch a market on any topic or niche and earn a share of every trade it generates, turning market creation into recurring revenue.

Create markets, earn forever
Your market
Will GTA 6 ship this year?
Yes 64%No 36%
$2.4M volume · 1,240 traders
Creator earnings$0a cut of every trade, forever
DeFi liquidity

Yield from prediction markets

Over $100 billion sits in DeFi pools with no way into prediction markets; the PMM is the first to let that capital in.

Park capital, earn yield
$100B+sits in DeFi liquidity pools today
DeFi
Prediction markets
A league of its own

The only engine that does it all

Where parimutuels, order books, and AMMs collapse, the PMM delivers.

The complete permissionless prediction-market engine
Live from $1Trade anytimeProtects early moneySafe passive liquidity
Order book
AMM
Parimutuel
PMM

Introducing the PMM.

Go deeper on the mechanism and the simulations in the full paper.